Duke is 14-3 with wins over Denver, Penn, UNC, Syracuse, Harvard, Notre Dame, UVA, and Air Force. They lost to Maryland, Loyola, Syracuse.
Duke has already ran through a gauntlet, and has to continue on if they want another National Championship. Do the Blue Devils have enough gas to continue to the end?
Their offense is sickeningly good. They average 15 goals per game, and have 5 players with 20+ goals (4 of them have 30+).
The other highlight of the Blue Devils is FO man, Fowler, is winning at 60%. He is good alone, plus he has great help on the wings. Duke’s defense is OK. They allow 35+ shots per game which may not be bad considering the competition they have played. In net, Aaron has a decent save percentage of 53%
Duke is surprisingly turning the ball over almost 15 times per game (not forced)
Hopkins is 11-4 with wins over Albany, Maryland, and UVA. They have lost to Syracuse, UVA, UNC, Loyola. At one point early in the season, Hopkins looked like the team to beat, before going on a 3 game skid.
Hopkins is scoring 12 goals per game, and has a few weapons as well as they have 4 players with 20+ goals.
The Jays are turning the ball over just under 14 times per game, but most are forced (59%)
By stats, this should be another notch in the Duke win column. In order to succeed, the Jays need to slow the pace down, and keep Duke from shooting. If they can be held to under 10 goals, this is a winable game for the Jays. The other key will be turnovers. Hopkins needs to capitalize on the Duke turnovers, and hold onto the ball themselves.
I think the Jays will give Duke a run for the money but I don’t see them being able to pull off this upset.