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4-11-14 Preview Duke at UVA

Duke Travels to Virginia with a head of steam while UVA is on the skids.

Duke is 10-2 with wins over Denver, Penn, UNC, Syracuse, Harvard, and Notre Dame.  Their losses are to Maryland and Loyola.
The Blue Devils are rolling over every one this year and look to be on a tear to a repeat National Championship.
The Blue Devils are scoring 14 goals per game off of 40 shots per game.
They have 4 players with over 20 goals each. Wolf leads the way with 37 Goals, 19 Assists;  Class with 23 G, 20A; Dionne with 28G, 5A; and Jones with 20G, 5A.
For Duke, it all starts with the possessions won off face offs (59.3%) and ground ball wins (413 vs 315).
On the defensive side of the field, opponents are still getting off 34 shots per game, but Freshman goalie Luke Aaron is keeping them out stopping over 56% and holding opponents to 8.5 goals per game.

Virginia is 8-4 with wins over Loyola, Syracuse, and Hopkins.  Losses include Cornell, Notre Dame, Maryland, and UNC.  They are on a 2 game losing streak to MD and UNC.
Virginia is scoring 13 goals per game except when they lose, then they are only scoring 8.5.  While UVA only has 2 players with more than 20 goals, they both have more than 30 goals (Cockerton with 36G, 12A; and Pannell with 31G, 5A).
Virginia has struggled at face offs winning 47%, and goalie Barrett has struggled at times saving 48% and letting in 11.1 goals per game.
UVA’s defense has on the other hand been successful getting the ball away from opponents causing 158 turnovers of opponents 218 total turnovers.

All the stats to this game point to an easy Duke win, however this is Virginia and they won’t go down easy.  The keys to this game will be if UVA can contain the multiple threats Duke will show, and can UVA’s takeaways on defense offset the disparity that will be face-offs.
UVA will hang tough but lose a close one.

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